NAVIGATE (Navigating the uncharted territory of the Anthropocene climate) is a four-year research project (2025-2029) funded by the Research Council of Norway. It is motivated by the unprecedented warming records over the past ten years, leading year 2024 as the warmest calendar year on record, and the first full year to breach the 1.5 °C warming above preindustrial level.
Using state-of-the-art climate modeling tools, the project team strives to investigate future options and pathways to realizing the Paris Agreement’s climate target. In addition to uncovering the global climate impact, Navigate will pay particular focus on environmental impacts in the northern high latitude regions, for decadal to centennial time horizons.
Objectives
Primary objectives:
To investigate the near- and long-term global and polar response of Earth system components, interactions, and feedbacks to various mitigation pathways to 1.5°-2°C global warming.
Secondary objectives:
- To apply a state-of-the-art Earth System Model in a fully interactive manner (including climate intervention measures) to simulate scenarios with multiple mitigation options that are consistent with Paris Agreement to year 2300.
- To determine the efficacy and side effects of climate interventions vs emission reductions in alleviating near- and long-term climate change impacts in 1.5° and 2°C global warming scenarios.
- To characterize the long-term legacy of human-induced climate change and climate interventions on the terrestrial and marine systems and carbon cycle.
- To provide policy-relevant comprehensive knowledge of climate impacts in the polar regions across mitigation scenarios.
